Harris vs. Trump, who is ahead in the polls?

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0 days

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Harris

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Trump

Poll average

We compare the Democratic presidential candidate, Kamala Harris, with the Republican candidate, Donald Trump, through presidential polls for the 2024 United States elections.
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By: JAVIER FIGUEROA AND AMAYA VERDE

Published 26 Jul 2024 – 11:00 AM EDT • Updated 2 May 2024 - 6:05 AM EDT

If the presidential elections were held today, would have a percentage points lead over , according to the average of national polls from RealClearPolitics (R).

0 days before the general elections, the polls reflect an intense competition for the popular vote between former President Trump and Vice President Harris. Polls show a better performance by Harris during the debate on September 10 against the Republican candidate.

On July 21, Joe Biden gave in to the pressures that arose after his poor performance in the debate with Donald Trump and announced his decision to withdraw as the Democratic Party candidate in the November elections, endorsing his vice president, Kamala Harris.

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Most Latino voters feel used by politicians during campaigns, according to a survey.

80% of Latinos surveyed by Axios believe that candidates only mention them as part of their political strategy, without ing them or offering ideas on issues that concern them, such as the economy or inflation.

Crédito: Univision

The landscape in the states

Elections in the country are not decided by popular vote but through an indirect suffrage process: candidates must win each state to accumulate electors and obtain at least 270 votes from the electoral college, out of a total of 538.

Some territories are more decisive than others on the path to the White House. Both Harris and Trump have electoral in states considered safe for their respective parties, such as California for the Democrats or Alabama for the Republicans. For this reason, they concentrate their efforts on winning in contested states, such as Florida or Michigan.

Note: In states where no polls are available, the color represents the winner of the 2020 election.

Necessary votes to win
270

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	Harris average	Trump average	Electoral votes

Source: Data from polls provided by RealClearPolitics, a news and political analysis outlet, and aggregator of survey data. The average of the most recent polls is also compiled by R. The advantage of one candidate over another in the included polls may fall within the margin of error.

Images: Associated Press.

Disclaimer: The purpose of this page is to reflect the trends and results of election polls. It should not be interpreted as a definitive prediction of the final outcome of the November 2024 presidential elections. Polls are tools for understanding current opinions and trends, but the actual outcome may vary due to various factors such as changes in public opinion, unexpected events, etc.

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